dying·humanity
EVIDENCE LIVE FEED
2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·
2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·
2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·2022-09-16GuardianMahsa Amini dies in Iranian custody; women-led protests sweep the country.·2022-09-08BBCQueen Elizabeth II dies after 70 years on the throne.·2022-08-31ReutersPakistan floods displace 33 million; a third of the country underwater.·2022-06-24NYTUS Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, ending the constitutional right to abortion.·2022-05-24NYTGunman kills 19 children and 2 teachers at Robb Elementary in Uvalde, Texas.·2022-03-09APRussian shelling of a Mariupol maternity hospital draws global condemnation.·2022-02-24BBCRussia launches full-scale invasion of Ukraine; largest land war in Europe since 1945.·2021-11-30NatureOmicron variant detected in southern Africa; spreads globally within weeks.·2021-10-31Carbon BriefIPCC: world on a 2.7°C warming track even if every Paris pledge is met.·2021-08-15ReutersTaliban enter Kabul; Afghan government collapses within hours of US withdrawal.·2021-07-09BBCWestern Canada heat dome kills 600 in days; Lytton burns to the ground.·2021-07-01BBCHong Kong's Apple Daily forced to shut as Beijing tightens national-security law.·2021-03-23FTContainer ship Ever Given blocks the Suez Canal for six days, halting global trade.·2021-02-15Texas TribuneTexas power grid collapses in winter storm; hundreds die in their homes.·2021-01-06ReutersPro-Trump mob storms the US Capitol to block certification of the election; five dead.·2020-12-31WHOGlobal COVID-19 deaths pass 1.8 million in the pandemic's first year.·2020-11-07APBiden defeats Trump; Trump refuses to concede the election.·2020-09-09SF ChronicleCalifornia wildfire smoke turns the San Francisco sky a dystopian orange.·2020-08-04Al JazeeraBeirut port explosion kills more than 200 and flattens half the city.·2020-05-25NYTGeorge Floyd killed by Minneapolis police; protests sweep cities worldwide.·2020-03-11BBCWHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic; global lockdowns begin.·2020-01-30ReutersWHO declares novel coronavirus a global health emergency.·2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·2022-09-16GuardianMahsa Amini dies in Iranian custody; women-led protests sweep the country.·2022-09-08BBCQueen Elizabeth II dies after 70 years on the throne.·2022-08-31ReutersPakistan floods displace 33 million; a third of the country underwater.·2022-06-24NYTUS Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, ending the constitutional right to abortion.·2022-05-24NYTGunman kills 19 children and 2 teachers at Robb Elementary in Uvalde, Texas.·2022-03-09APRussian shelling of a Mariupol maternity hospital draws global condemnation.·2022-02-24BBCRussia launches full-scale invasion of Ukraine; largest land war in Europe since 1945.·2021-11-30NatureOmicron variant detected in southern Africa; spreads globally within weeks.·2021-10-31Carbon BriefIPCC: world on a 2.7°C warming track even if every Paris pledge is met.·2021-08-15ReutersTaliban enter Kabul; Afghan government collapses within hours of US withdrawal.·2021-07-09BBCWestern Canada heat dome kills 600 in days; Lytton burns to the ground.·2021-07-01BBCHong Kong's Apple Daily forced to shut as Beijing tightens national-security law.·2021-03-23FTContainer ship Ever Given blocks the Suez Canal for six days, halting global trade.·2021-02-15Texas TribuneTexas power grid collapses in winter storm; hundreds die in their homes.·2021-01-06ReutersPro-Trump mob storms the US Capitol to block certification of the election; five dead.·2020-12-31WHOGlobal COVID-19 deaths pass 1.8 million in the pandemic's first year.·2020-11-07APBiden defeats Trump; Trump refuses to concede the election.·2020-09-09SF ChronicleCalifornia wildfire smoke turns the San Francisco sky a dystopian orange.·2020-08-04Al JazeeraBeirut port explosion kills more than 200 and flattens half the city.·2020-05-25NYTGeorge Floyd killed by Minneapolis police; protests sweep cities worldwide.·2020-03-11BBCWHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic; global lockdowns begin.·2020-01-30ReutersWHO declares novel coronavirus a global health emergency.·
DYING·HUMANITY / PILLAR / MIND & ISOLATION

WE BUILT AN ECONOMY
OF DISTRESS.

Roughly 300 million people live with depression (GBD 2021). One in four adults reports frequent loneliness (Meta-Gallup 2023). American adolescent girls went from 36% reporting persistent sadness in 2011 to 57% in 2021 (CDC YRBSS), the largest single-cohort shift in the survey's history. The platforms that captured those years were not broken when this happened. They were working.

T −15years·182days·15hrs:00min:00sec
SEVERE· COMPOSITE 69/100
THE NUMBERS

Six figures behind the composite.

57
%
US teen girls reporting persistent sadness, 2021
Up from 36% in 2011. The largest single-cohort mental-health collapse in CDC YRBSS history.
1 in 4
Adults globally reporting frequent loneliness
Meta-Gallup State of Social Connections 2023. The US, UK, and Japan have all appointed loneliness officials.
8h47m
Median personal-screen time, US teens 13 to 18
Common Sense Media Census 2024. Roughly two thirds of waking hours, before school or work screens.
300
M
People living with depression worldwide
Global Burden of Disease 2021. Post-pandemic prevalence remains elevated vs the 2019 baseline.
>75
%
·
Treatment gap in low-income countries
WHO Mental Health Atlas. The fraction of people with mental illness who receive no treatment.
35
%
US adults sleeping under 7 hours
CDC BRFSS. Average sleep duration has declined across decades; recovery is not on any policy agenda.
COMPOSITE

One 0-100 score.

025456582100
69
Composite Index
Severe
CURRENT READING

Heuristic seed snapshot. Mental-health pressure has been rising for a decade, with a sharp adolescent inflection beginning ~2012 (smartphone + social-media saturation), an additional pandemic shock, and a treatment-access gap that is widest exactly where prevalence is rising fastest. The headline number flattens dramatic differences by age, gender, and region.

Severe· composite 69/100
TRAJECTORY

Over time.

US TEEN GIRLS VS BOYS · 2011 TO 2021

Persistent sadness, broken out by sex.

15.0%26.3%37.5%48.8%60.0%2012201420162018202057.0%28.6%GirlsBoys

CDC Youth Risk Behavior Survey: share of US high schoolers reporting persistent sadness or hopelessness for two+ weeks straight in the past year. The 2011-2021 jump in girls is the largest cohort-level change in the survey's history.

SIGNALS

What the score is measuring.

Anxiety & depression prevalence
Estimated point-prevalence of clinically significant anxiety/depression worldwide.
weight 14% · sources: Lancet Global Burden of Disease, WHO Mental Health Atlas
GBD 2021: ~301M with anxiety, ~280M with depressive disorders globally. Post-pandemic prevalence remains elevated vs 2019 baseline.
cit: GBD 2021
7.0
Adolescent screen time
Median hours per day on personal devices, ages 11–17.
weight 10% · sources: Common Sense Media, OECD PISA wellbeing
Common Sense: ~8h47m median screen use among US 13-18 year olds (2024). Similar trajectories across OECD.
cit: Common Sense Media 2024
8.0
Social-media intensity
Daily active hours on attention-capture platforms across adult populations.
weight 10% · sources: Pew Research, Data Reportal
Global average daily social media use ~2h23m, with significant attention fragmentation; short-form video drives further per-minute engagement.
cit: DataReportal 2025
7.0
Loneliness prevalence
Share of adults reporting frequent loneliness; trend 2010–today.
weight 12% · sources: Meta-Gallup State of Social Connections, OECD Better Life Index
Meta-Gallup 2023: 1 in 4 adults globally feel 'very or fairly lonely'. UK and Japan have appointed loneliness ministers; US Surgeon General declared it a public health epidemic.
cit: Meta-Gallup State of Social Connections 2023 · US Surgeon General 2023 advisory
7.0
Sleep deprivation
Share of adults sleeping under 7 hours; chronic short sleep prevalence.
weight 8% · sources: CDC BRFSS, Our World in Data
~35% of US adults sleep <7 hours; similar in much of OECD. Sleep duration declining over decades.
cit: CDC BRFSS · OWID
6.0
Suicide rate trend
Age-standardised suicide rates and the youth-cohort sub-trend.
weight 12% · sources: WHO Mortality Database, Lancet Global Burden of Disease
Age-standardised global rate ~9/100k. Youth (15-24) cohorts trending up in several Western countries; female rates rising in adolescent groups; net global rate slowly declining due to age-mix effects.
cit: WHO 2024 · GBD 2021
6.0
Treatment access gap
Share of people with mental illness who receive any treatment.
weight 10% · sources: WHO Mental Health Atlas, Lancet Global Mental Health
WHO Mental Health Atlas: median treatment gap >75% in low-income countries; ~50% in high-income. Workforce shortage globally severe.
cit: WHO Mental Health Atlas 2024
8.0
Meaning & anomie
Self-reported sense of life-meaning; institutional trust; community participation.
weight 12% · sources: World Values Survey, Pew ResearchLLM-assisted
Self-reported life-meaning declining in Western data; institutional trust at multi-decade lows in much of OECD; offset by stronger meaning-frameworks elsewhere.
cit: World Values Survey · Pew Trust in Institutions
6.0
Youth-specific distress
Sadness, hopelessness, self-harm in adolescents; sharp rise since ~2012 in Western data.
weight 8% · sources: CDC YRBSS, Jonathan Haidt After Babel research review
CDC YRBSS: ~57% of US teen girls report persistent sadness/hopelessness (2021), up from ~36% in 2011. Inflection across multiple Western nations begins ~2012.
cit: CDC YRBSS 2021 · Haidt 2024 After Babel reviews
8.0
Work & precarity stress
Burnout prevalence, perceived job insecurity, hours worked vs preferred.
weight 4% · sources: Gallup State of the Global Workplace, OECD
Gallup global workplace report: ~44% of employees experienced 'a lot of stress' yesterday; burnout reported by ~28% in some sectors.
cit: Gallup State of the Global Workplace 2024
6.0
PERSPECTIVES

Several traditions reading the same data.

On the question of

Why are mental-health indicators getting worse, and what does that even mean?

Cause & framing
Western scientific
Mainstream psychiatric / biomedical

Mood, anxiety, and stress disorders involve genuine neurobiological dysregulation that can be measured, diagnosed, and treated. Rising prevalence is partly real (driven by sleep loss, screen exposure, social-fabric decline, economic precarity, post-pandemic shock) and partly increased detection in populations previously under-served.

Lancet Global Burden of Disease; APA DSM-5-TR
Critical
Critical psychiatry

Much of what we call 'mental illness' is a normal human response to abnormal social conditions: precarity, loneliness, meaning-loss, oppression, climate dread. Reframing it as individual pathology risks medicating the symptoms while leaving the causes untouched and the pharmaceutical industry over-paid.

It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society.

Critical Psychiatry Network; Joanna Moncrieff
Western scientific
Social-media & phone-based-childhood thesis

The simultaneous, multi-country adolescent mental-health collapse beginning ~2012 closely tracks smartphone + front-facing-camera + algorithmic-feed adoption. Mechanisms: sleep loss, social comparison, fragmented attention, displaced in-person time, exposure to harassment. The case is correlational but increasingly difficult to explain otherwise.

Jonathan Haidt, The Anxious Generation (2024); Jean Twenge, iGen
Eastern contemplative
Contemplative & Buddhist psychology

Suffering arises predictably from attachment and from a distracted, reactive mind; what we are watching globally is the predictable outcome of an attention economy designed to maximise both. The interventions that work (present-moment attention, equanimity, compassion practice) are individually low-cost but require cultural support to scale.

Mind & Life Institute; Jon Kabat-Zinn MBSR research
Indigenous
Community of belonging

Mental health is inseparable from belonging: to land, kin, ancestors, the more-than-human world. Many Indigenous frameworks treat individualised psychiatric categories as a category error; the illness is in the network, not in the person. Recovery requires repair of relationship, not (only) treatment of symptoms.

Joseph P. Gone; First Nations Mental Wellness Continuum Framework
Religious
Faith-based & spiritual care

Many traditions identify the modern condition not as 'mental illness' but as spiritual emptiness: disconnection from God, meaning, ritual, community of obligation. Religious practice, prayer, fasting, and pastoral care have measurable mental-health benefits in observational data; the effect is mediated by community as much as by belief.

Harvard T. H. Chan religion and public health initiative
Lived experience
Service-user / survivor

From people who have been inside the systems: what helps is consistent relationships, agency, housing, work that has meaning, and time. What hurts is forced treatment, fragmented short-stay care, stigma, and being talked about rather than to. Policy that excludes this perspective tends to be policy that does not work.

International Mental Health Collaborating Network; Hearing Voices Network
On the question of

What actually moves the indicators, and what is wishful?

What helps
Western scientific
Evidence-based clinical

Cognitive-behavioural therapies, SSRIs, exercise, and sleep are the best-evidenced individual-level interventions. At population scale, what moves the needle most is workforce expansion, primary-care integration, school programmes, and reducing the access gap in low- and middle-income countries.

WHO mhGAP Intervention Guide
Western scientific
Phone-free childhood

Practical, achievable, and increasingly tested at population scale: no smartphones before high school, no social media before 16, phone-free schools, far more unsupervised play. Several jurisdictions (Australia, France, Italy) have adopted versions; early results on adolescent wellbeing are promising.

Jonathan Haidt, Anxious Generation; Australian under-16 social-media ban (2025)
Critical
Structural & political

Mental-health metrics will not improve at scale without addressing the conditions producing distress: housing insecurity, hours-worked, loneliness, climate dread, inequality. Therapy and medication remain necessary but cannot substitute for repair of the social environment.

Vikram Patel; Lancet Commission on Global Mental Health
Indigenous
Community-led recovery

Recovery rates from severe mental illness are substantially higher in low-income communities with intact extended-family networks than in high-income individualised settings, against the predictions of biomedical models. The protective factor is sustained relational embedding.

WHO International Study of Schizophrenia outcomes; T.M. Luhrmann
TRUST

Sources, weights, and code are open.

Data provenance

Where every number comes from

The composite index is computed from the signals listed on this page, each backed by one or more named sources. Where the source publishes a public dataset or feed it is linked below; where a signal involves qualitative judgement, the LLM-assisted pass is explicitly marked on the signal card.

Audit trail

Everything is versioned

  • Every hourly snapshot is committed to git with a message naming the signals that moved.
  • A daily snapshot is archived to data/history-current/ for the calibration log.
  • Raw scraped article lists are written to data/raw/ so a score is reproducible from its input bundle.
  • Signal definitions, weights, and seeded scores all live in plain JSON or TypeScript; anyone can open a PR challenging a value and explain why.
What this is NOT
Not a prediction.
The composite index is descriptive. Subjective estimates are published openly so the track record becomes visible, not because the author believes them precisely calibrated today.
Not journalism.
Sources are listed but this is not original reporting. If the inputs feeding the LLM are wrong, the score is wrong. Triangulate with primary reporting before drawing conclusions.
Not impartial.
Signal definitions, weights, and historical scores reflect the author's reading. Bias is unavoidable in this kind of synthesis; the mitigation is that it's all explicit and challengeable signal by signal.
METHODOLOGY

How this pillar is scored.

Methodology & limits

Ten signals, weighted into a single 0-100 score. The number says how much pressure is on the average human mind right now. It does not say who specifically will be harmed; that's a different question and a different research literature.

GBD and the WHO Mental Health Atlas update yearly, so most of this only moves at that cadence. Faster signals (platform changes, the under-16 social-media bans, post-pandemic survey waves) can shift on a monthly horizon.

Mental health is unusually exposed to how we define it. 'Anxiety' and 'depression' have moved across DSM revisions, and prevalence partly tracks detection. The Perspectives section keeps critical-psychiatry and lived-experience readings visible rather than smoothing them out.

Anxiety & depression prevalence
w 14%
Estimated point-prevalence of clinically significant anxiety/depression worldwide.
sources: Lancet Global Burden of Disease, WHO Mental Health Atlas
Adolescent screen time
w 10%
Median hours per day on personal devices, ages 11–17.
sources: Common Sense Media, OECD PISA wellbeing
Social-media intensity
w 10%
Daily active hours on attention-capture platforms across adult populations.
sources: Pew Research, Data Reportal
Loneliness prevalence
w 12%
Share of adults reporting frequent loneliness; trend 2010–today.
sources: Meta-Gallup State of Social Connections, OECD Better Life Index
Sleep deprivation
w 8%
Share of adults sleeping under 7 hours; chronic short sleep prevalence.
sources: CDC BRFSS, Our World in Data
Suicide rate trend
w 12%
Age-standardised suicide rates and the youth-cohort sub-trend.
sources: WHO Mortality Database, Lancet Global Burden of Disease
Treatment access gap
w 10%
Share of people with mental illness who receive any treatment.
sources: WHO Mental Health Atlas, Lancet Global Mental Health
Meaning & anomie
w 12%
Self-reported sense of life-meaning; institutional trust; community participation.
sources: World Values Survey, Pew Research · LLM-assisted
Youth-specific distress
w 8%
Sadness, hopelessness, self-harm in adolescents; sharp rise since ~2012 in Western data.
sources: CDC YRBSS, Jonathan Haidt After Babel research review
Work & precarity stress
w 4%
Burnout prevalence, perceived job insecurity, hours worked vs preferred.
sources: Gallup State of the Global Workplace, OECD
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