dying·humanity
EVIDENCE LIVE FEED
2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·
2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·
2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·2022-09-16GuardianMahsa Amini dies in Iranian custody; women-led protests sweep the country.·2022-09-08BBCQueen Elizabeth II dies after 70 years on the throne.·2022-08-31ReutersPakistan floods displace 33 million; a third of the country underwater.·2022-06-24NYTUS Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, ending the constitutional right to abortion.·2022-05-24NYTGunman kills 19 children and 2 teachers at Robb Elementary in Uvalde, Texas.·2022-03-09APRussian shelling of a Mariupol maternity hospital draws global condemnation.·2022-02-24BBCRussia launches full-scale invasion of Ukraine; largest land war in Europe since 1945.·2021-11-30NatureOmicron variant detected in southern Africa; spreads globally within weeks.·2021-10-31Carbon BriefIPCC: world on a 2.7°C warming track even if every Paris pledge is met.·2021-08-15ReutersTaliban enter Kabul; Afghan government collapses within hours of US withdrawal.·2021-07-09BBCWestern Canada heat dome kills 600 in days; Lytton burns to the ground.·2021-07-01BBCHong Kong's Apple Daily forced to shut as Beijing tightens national-security law.·2021-03-23FTContainer ship Ever Given blocks the Suez Canal for six days, halting global trade.·2021-02-15Texas TribuneTexas power grid collapses in winter storm; hundreds die in their homes.·2021-01-06ReutersPro-Trump mob storms the US Capitol to block certification of the election; five dead.·2020-12-31WHOGlobal COVID-19 deaths pass 1.8 million in the pandemic's first year.·2020-11-07APBiden defeats Trump; Trump refuses to concede the election.·2020-09-09SF ChronicleCalifornia wildfire smoke turns the San Francisco sky a dystopian orange.·2020-08-04Al JazeeraBeirut port explosion kills more than 200 and flattens half the city.·2020-05-25NYTGeorge Floyd killed by Minneapolis police; protests sweep cities worldwide.·2020-03-11BBCWHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic; global lockdowns begin.·2020-01-30ReutersWHO declares novel coronavirus a global health emergency.·2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·2022-09-16GuardianMahsa Amini dies in Iranian custody; women-led protests sweep the country.·2022-09-08BBCQueen Elizabeth II dies after 70 years on the throne.·2022-08-31ReutersPakistan floods displace 33 million; a third of the country underwater.·2022-06-24NYTUS Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, ending the constitutional right to abortion.·2022-05-24NYTGunman kills 19 children and 2 teachers at Robb Elementary in Uvalde, Texas.·2022-03-09APRussian shelling of a Mariupol maternity hospital draws global condemnation.·2022-02-24BBCRussia launches full-scale invasion of Ukraine; largest land war in Europe since 1945.·2021-11-30NatureOmicron variant detected in southern Africa; spreads globally within weeks.·2021-10-31Carbon BriefIPCC: world on a 2.7°C warming track even if every Paris pledge is met.·2021-08-15ReutersTaliban enter Kabul; Afghan government collapses within hours of US withdrawal.·2021-07-09BBCWestern Canada heat dome kills 600 in days; Lytton burns to the ground.·2021-07-01BBCHong Kong's Apple Daily forced to shut as Beijing tightens national-security law.·2021-03-23FTContainer ship Ever Given blocks the Suez Canal for six days, halting global trade.·2021-02-15Texas TribuneTexas power grid collapses in winter storm; hundreds die in their homes.·2021-01-06ReutersPro-Trump mob storms the US Capitol to block certification of the election; five dead.·2020-12-31WHOGlobal COVID-19 deaths pass 1.8 million in the pandemic's first year.·2020-11-07APBiden defeats Trump; Trump refuses to concede the election.·2020-09-09SF ChronicleCalifornia wildfire smoke turns the San Francisco sky a dystopian orange.·2020-08-04Al JazeeraBeirut port explosion kills more than 200 and flattens half the city.·2020-05-25NYTGeorge Floyd killed by Minneapolis police; protests sweep cities worldwide.·2020-03-11BBCWHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic; global lockdowns begin.·2020-01-30ReutersWHO declares novel coronavirus a global health emergency.·
DYING·HUMANITY / PILLAR / GREED & INEQUALITY

THE FEW HAVE TAKEN
MOST OF IT.

The top 1% of adults globally hold roughly 38% of household wealth (World Inequality Database 2024). The world's ~2,800 billionaires control about $14 trillion (Forbes 2024), more than every country's GDP except the US and China. The top 1% of emitters produce more CO₂ than the bottom two-thirds of humanity (Oxfam & SEI 2023). Where this shows up is São Paulo, Riyadh, Berlin, and San Francisco, and the shape is different in each.

T −9years·182days·15hrs:00min:00sec
SEVERE· COMPOSITE 81/100
THE NUMBERS

Six figures behind the composite.

38
%
Global top-1% share of household wealth
World Inequality Database 2024. Cross-regional average. Russia at 58%, Sweden at 36%, Japan at 19%.
$14
T
Aggregate net worth of the world's billionaires
Forbes 2024. About 2,800 individuals. Exceeds Germany's annual GDP.
58
%
·
MENA top-10% income share, the world's most unequal region
WID regional aggregate. Concentrated oil rents + low mobility. Europe sits at 36% by comparison.
60
%
·
Russian & C. Asian household wealth held offshore
Zucman 2023. The world's highest offshore share by region. MENA 57%, Sub-Saharan Africa 30%, Europe 10%.
16
%
Global emissions from the top 1% of emitters
Oxfam & SEI 2023. More than the entire bottom 66%. Directly couples this pillar to climate.
12 → 2
Mobility gap, Denmark vs Brazil & South Africa
Probability a bottom-quintile child reaches the top: 12% in Denmark, 2% in Brazil and South Africa. Six-fold gap between OECD top and BRICS bottom.
COMPOSITE

One 0-100 score.

025456582100
81
Composite Index
Severe
CURRENT READING

Heuristic seed snapshot. Inequality stress sits in the upper half of the 'Severe' band: top-1% wealth shares at multi-decade highs, billionaire wealth gains during the pandemic and inflation period that vastly outpaced wage growth, US CEO-to-worker pay ratio near 290:1, and a measurable transmission from wealth concentration to political outcomes. The carbon-inequality signal links the pillar directly to the climate pillar: the top 1% of emitters generate as much CO₂ as the bottom two-thirds of humanity.

Severe· composite 81/100
TRAJECTORY

Over time.

GLOBAL VIEW

Six measures, fifteen economies.

Top-1% share of household wealth

What share of total private wealth in each country is held by the wealthiest 1% of adults. The world average sits near 38%.

SORT
REGION
  • 🇷🇺RussiaRussia·C.A.
    58%
  • 🇿🇦South AfricaSub-Saharan Africa
    55%
  • 🇧🇷BrazilAmericas
    49%
  • 🇮🇳IndiaAsia
    40%
  • 🇸🇪SwedenEurope
    36%
  • 🇺🇸United StatesAmericas
    35%
  • 🇨🇳ChinaAsia
    31%
  • 🇪🇸SpainEurope
    29%
  • 🇩🇪GermanyEurope
    27%
  • 🇫🇷FranceEurope
    27%
  • 🇮🇹ItalyEurope
    24%
  • 🇦🇺AustraliaOceania
    24%
  • 🇬🇧United KingdomEurope
    22%
  • 🇯🇵JapanAsia
    19%
REGIONSAmericasEuropeAsiaRussia & C. AsiaMENASub-Saharan AfricaOceania
READINGRussia stands out as the highest on this measure at 58%.
SOURCE · World Inequality Database 2024 release
BILLIONAIRES

Where the top of the top live.

BILLIONAIRES BY COUNTRY · GROUPED BY REGION

Where the world's $-billionaires live.

SHOW

Forbes World's Billionaires List 2024 figures. The US dwarfs every other country on both measures. Hong Kong reported separately from mainland China; France's per-capita billionaire density is high due to the LVMH and L'Oréal family concentrations.

GLOBAL TOTAL
$11.8T
across tracked countries
US SHARE
46%
of tracked aggregate wealth
CHINA + HK + INDIA
26%
Asia is the fastest-growing concentration.
Americas
$6.11T aggregate
  • 🇺🇸United States
    $5.50T
  • 🇨🇦Canada
    $240B
  • 🇧🇷Brazil
    $235B
  • 🇲🇽Mexico
    $135B
Asia
$3.27T aggregate
  • 🇨🇳China (mainland)
    $1.70T
  • 🇮🇳India
    $1.00T
  • 🇭🇰Hong Kong
    $380B
  • 🇯🇵Japan
    $195B
Europe
$1.61T aggregate
  • 🇫🇷France
    $595B
  • 🇩🇪Germany
    $535B
  • 🇮🇹Italy
    $245B
  • 🇬🇧United Kingdom
    $240B
Russia & C. Asia
$0.54T aggregate
  • 🇷🇺Russia
    $540B
Oceania
$0.20T aggregate
  • 🇦🇺Australia
    $195B
MENA
$0.10T aggregate
  • 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia
    $105B
SOURCE · Forbes World's Billionaires List 2024
CARBON × WEALTH · 2019 GLOBAL

The richest 1% pollute more than the poorest 66%.

Bottom 50%
12% of global CO₂
Middle 40%
40% of global CO₂
Top 10%
48% of global CO₂
Top 1%
16% of global CO₂

Oxfam & Stockholm Environment Institute, Confronting Carbon Inequality 2023. Top-1% emitters generate ~16% of global CO₂; bottom-50% just 12%. The link between this pillar and the climate pillar is causal, quantified, and stable across the data.

UNITED STATES DEEP-DIVE

The US case in two time-series, and why it is the leading global signal.

US WEALTH CONCENTRATION · 1965 TO 2024

Top-1% wealth share, six decades.

18.0%22.5%27.0%31.5%36.0%19651970197519801985199019952000200520102015202030.0%

Post-war compression unwound, then more so. Trough in the late 1970s; the climb back resumes through every decade since, with the 2020 capital-gains windfall adding another step. The European U-shape is shallower; the Asian curve looks different again. The US is the textbook case.

US CEO PAY · 1965 TO 2023

S&P 500 CEO-to-typical-worker pay ratio.

0.00:1100:1200:1300:1400:11965197019751980198519901995200020052010201520201965 baseline · 21:1 (≈ Japan today)Germany 2024 · 131:1UK 2024 · 109:1290:1

EPI methodology. The 1965 baseline of 21:1 is roughly where Japan still sits (15:1). France and the UK never crossed 200:1; the US sits near 290:1 even after the post-bubble normalisation.

SIGNALS

What the score is measuring.

Top-1% wealth share
Share of total household wealth held by the top 1% in major economies.
weight 13% · sources: World Inequality Database, Fed Distributional Financial Accounts
Top 1% holds ~30% of US household wealth (Fed DFA 2024); ~38% of EU household wealth.
cit: Federal Reserve DFA · WID 2024
8.0
Billionaire wealth growth
Real growth in aggregate billionaire wealth versus median wage growth.
weight 12% · sources: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires, Oxfam Davos reports
Oxfam Davos 2025: the five richest billionaires saw real wealth roughly double since 2020. Top 1% gained $42T over the decade, ~34x the bottom 50%.
cit: Oxfam Davos 2025 · Forbes RTB
9.0
CEO-to-worker pay ratio
Ratio of S&P 500 CEO compensation to typical worker pay in the same firms.
weight 10% · sources: Economic Policy Institute CEO compensation report
EPI 2024: S&P 500 CEO-to-typical-worker pay ratio at 290:1 (was ~20:1 in 1965).
cit: Economic Policy Institute 2024
8.0
Tax haven & illicit flows
Estimated wealth and corporate profits held offshore or shifted to low-tax jurisdictions.
weight 9% · sources: Tax Justice Network State of Tax Justice, EU Tax Observatory
Tax Justice Network State of Tax Justice 2024 estimates ~$492B/yr lost to global tax abuse. Zucman: ~$12T in offshore household wealth.
cit: TJN 2024 · Zucman 2023
8.0
Regulatory & political capture
Lobbying spend, revolving-door rates, donor concentration in policy outcomes.
weight 10% · sources: OpenSecrets, Transparency International CPILLM-assisted
OpenSecrets 2024: $4.4B in federal lobbying spend, record. Revolving-door rates between Treasury / SEC / financial sector remain high.
cit: OpenSecrets 2024 · TI CPI 2024
8.0
Inter-generational mobility
Probability that children born in the bottom income quintile reach the top, by country.
weight 10% · sources: Chetty et al. Opportunity Atlas, OECD A Broken Social Elevator?
Chetty Opportunity Atlas: probability of bottom-quintile child reaching top quintile is ~7.5% in US, far below Denmark (~12%) and Canada (~11%).
cit: Chetty et al. 2014/2024
7.0
Labour vs capital income share
Wage share of GDP versus profit share of GDP, decadal trend.
weight 8% · sources: BLS Productivity-Pay Gap, ILO Global Wage Report
BLS productivity-pay gap: real productivity grew ~62% since 1979 while typical hourly compensation grew ~18%. Labour share of GDP at multi-decade low.
cit: BLS Productivity-Pay Gap
7.0
Carbon-elite emissions concentration
Share of total emissions attributable to the top 1% and top 10% of emitters.
weight 8% · sources: Oxfam Confronting Carbon Inequality, World Inequality Lab Climate Report
Oxfam Confronting Carbon Inequality + WIL Climate Report 2023: top 1% of emitters responsible for ~16% of global CO₂, more than the bottom 66%.
cit: Oxfam 2023 · WIL Climate Report 2023
9.0
Effective tax rate at the top
Combined effective tax rate paid by the top 0.01% on income + wealth + capital gains.
weight 8% · sources: Saez & Zucman Berkeley analyses, ProPublica IRS file
Saez & Zucman: combined effective rate on top 0.01% of US households around 23% (income+wealth+gains), barely above bottom-quintile rates.
cit: Saez Zucman 2019/2023
8.0
Wealth → political voice transmission
Measured policy responsiveness to top-income preferences vs median voter.
weight 12% · sources: Gilens & Page 2014 Perspectives on Politics, Bonica Stanford DIME databaseLLM-assisted
Gilens & Page 2014: policy responsiveness to top-10% preferences vs median voter shows the median has near-zero independent effect. Pattern persists post-Citizens United.
cit: Gilens & Page 2014 · Bonica DIME
9.0
PERSPECTIVES

Several traditions reading the same data.

On the question of

Why has wealth concentrated so heavily, and is concentration itself the problem?

Cause & diagnosis
Western scientific
Piketty / political economy

When the rate of return on capital (r) systematically exceeds the rate of growth (g), inherited wealth grows faster than earned income and concentration becomes structural. Post-1980 policy choices (deregulation, financialisation, weakened unions, lower top tax rates) reinforced that gap. Concentration itself is the political problem; it converts into capture.

When the rate of return on capital significantly exceeds the growth rate of the economy, capitalism automatically generates arbitrary and unsustainable inequalities.

Thomas Piketty, Capital in the Twenty-First Century (2014)
Western scientific
Neoclassical / Chicago

Differences in income and wealth largely reflect differences in productivity, risk-taking, and human capital. Some level of inequality is a price worth paying for the dynamism it incentivises; redistribution beyond a modest level damages growth and ultimately the people it tries to help. The poverty line, not the gap, is what matters.

A society that puts equality before freedom will get neither. A society that puts freedom before equality will get a high degree of both.

Milton Friedman, Capitalism and Freedom (1962)
Critical
Marxist political economy

Capital accumulation is structural exploitation of labour, not the reward for productivity. The wage-profit relation determines how the surplus is split, and capital's structural power means it almost always wins. Reform alone cannot fix the relation; the alternative is to socialise the means of production, in whatever form a given context permits.

Marx, Capital Vol. I; David Harvey, A Companion to Marx's Capital
Industry
Libertarian / Hayek-Nozick

Inequality is the natural and morally legitimate outcome of voluntary exchange among free people. As long as the rules of acquisition are just, the resulting distribution is just regardless of how unequal it looks. Redistribution requires coercion and substitutes someone's preferred end-state pattern for the freely-arrived-at one.

Robert Nozick, Anarchy, State, and Utopia (1974)
Religious
Catholic social teaching & Islamic moral economy

Both traditions treat extreme wealth as a moral and spiritual hazard. Catholic social teaching frames property as having a universal destination; Islamic economics frames wealth as a trust on which annual zakat is due. Both reject unconditional libertarianism and unconditional state ownership; both insist on duties of the rich to the poor that the state may but need not enforce.

We can no longer trust in the unseen forces and the invisible hand of the market.

Pope Francis, Evangelii Gaudium (2013); Islamic Declaration on Global Climate Change (2015)
Indigenous
Gift economy & reciprocity

Pre-state and many continuing Indigenous economies were not subsistence economies that grudgingly redistributed; they were redistribution-first economies. Potlatch, kula, ubuntu, takhar all treat wealth-hoarding as anti-social. The contemporary 'rediscovery' of universal basic services or commons-stewardship has direct parallels in living traditions.

Marcel Mauss, The Gift; Robin Wall Kimmerer, The Serviceberry (2024)
On the question of

Of the interventions on the table, which move the needle and which are wishful?

What actually works
Western scientific
Tax-policy mainstream

The most-evidenced interventions: raise effective rates at the top via wealth and inheritance taxes (Saez/Zucman), close offshore loopholes (Zucman global minimum), expand earned-income credits at the bottom. Implementation is the bottleneck, not design.

Saez & Zucman, The Triumph of Injustice (2019); G20/OECD global minimum tax framework
Critical
Predistribution & labour power

Redistribution after the fact is politically fragile. The bigger lever is the pre-tax distribution itself: collective bargaining, union density, sectoral wage boards, minimum-wage architecture, public-option provision. Restore the labour-vs-capital balance and post-tax outcomes follow.

Lane Kenworthy, Predistribution; James Meade, Liberty, Equality, and Efficiency
Critical
UBI & basic services

Universal basic income (cash) and universal basic services (housing, healthcare, transit, childcare) attack the precarity floor directly. Trials in Kenya, Finland, Stockton show mixed but generally positive results on wellbeing, weak negative results on labour-supply.

GiveDirectly UBI trials; Stockton SEED Demonstration; Hilary Hoynes review
Critical
Cooperative & employee ownership

If the issue is who owns capital, expand who owns capital. Mondragón, John Lewis Partnership, ESOPs in the US. Empirical evidence is mixed on macro-effects but consistent on within-firm outcomes (lower inequality, higher resilience).

ICA Global Cooperative Monitor; NCEO ESOP outcomes; Mondragón case literature
Critical
Effective altruism / global view

Within-country inequality is a real concern but the bigger moral target is between-country inequality. Dollars deployed in low-income contexts (GiveDirectly, deworming, vaccines) buy far more wellbeing per dollar than within-rich-country interventions. The implication for action is that effective philanthropy and global redistribution dwarf domestic policy.

GiveWell; Peter Singer, The Life You Can Save
TRUST

Sources, weights, and code are open.

Data provenance

Where every number comes from

The composite index is computed from the signals listed on this page, each backed by one or more named sources. Where the source publishes a public dataset or feed it is linked below; where a signal involves qualitative judgement, the LLM-assisted pass is explicitly marked on the signal card.

  • ·BLS Productivity-Pay Gap
  • ·Bonica Stanford DIME database
  • ·Chetty et al. Opportunity Atlas
  • ·EU Tax Observatory
  • ·Economic Policy Institute CEO compensation report
  • ·Fed Distributional Financial Accounts
  • ·Forbes Real-Time Billionaires
  • ·Gilens & Page 2014 Perspectives on Politics
  • ·ILO Global Wage Report
  • ·OECD A Broken Social Elevator?
  • ·OpenSecrets
  • ·Oxfam Confronting Carbon Inequality
  • ·Oxfam Davos reports
  • ·ProPublica IRS file
  • ·Saez & Zucman Berkeley analyses
  • ·Tax Justice Network State of Tax Justice
  • ·Transparency International CPI
  • ·World Inequality Database
  • ·World Inequality Lab Climate Report
Audit trail

Everything is versioned

  • Every hourly snapshot is committed to git with a message naming the signals that moved.
  • A daily snapshot is archived to data/history-current/ for the calibration log.
  • Raw scraped article lists are written to data/raw/ so a score is reproducible from its input bundle.
  • Signal definitions, weights, and seeded scores all live in plain JSON or TypeScript; anyone can open a PR challenging a value and explain why.
What this is NOT
Not a prediction.
The composite index is descriptive. Subjective estimates are published openly so the track record becomes visible, not because the author believes them precisely calibrated today.
Not journalism.
Sources are listed but this is not original reporting. If the inputs feeding the LLM are wrong, the score is wrong. Triangulate with primary reporting before drawing conclusions.
Not impartial.
Signal definitions, weights, and historical scores reflect the author's reading. Bias is unavoidable in this kind of synthesis; the mitigation is that it's all explicit and challengeable signal by signal.
METHODOLOGY

How this pillar is scored.

Methodology & limits

Ten signals, weighted into a 0-100 score. Structural signals (top-1% share, labour vs capital share) move once a year. Faster signals (lobbying flows, capture indices, billionaire wealth) update more often.

Wealth-to-political-voice gets a heavy weight on purpose. Gilens & Page found that, once you control for top-decile preferences, median-voter preferences have close to zero independent effect on US federal policy. That's the moment inequality stops being just an economic measurement and starts being a political one.

Carbon inequality is a signal here because emissions concentrate where wealth does. That makes climate policy partly an inequality policy, and the reverse. The link is in the data, not just the framing.

Cross-country comparisons follow World Inequality Database conventions where possible, harmonised to the latest reference year. CEO-pay ratios and mobility figures don't have a single global methodology; in those cases the most-cited national source is used and noted on the chart.

Top-1% wealth share
w 13%
Share of total household wealth held by the top 1% in major economies.
sources: World Inequality Database, Fed Distributional Financial Accounts
Billionaire wealth growth
w 12%
Real growth in aggregate billionaire wealth versus median wage growth.
sources: Forbes Real-Time Billionaires, Oxfam Davos reports
CEO-to-worker pay ratio
w 10%
Ratio of S&P 500 CEO compensation to typical worker pay in the same firms.
sources: Economic Policy Institute CEO compensation report
Tax haven & illicit flows
w 9%
Estimated wealth and corporate profits held offshore or shifted to low-tax jurisdictions.
sources: Tax Justice Network State of Tax Justice, EU Tax Observatory
Regulatory & political capture
w 10%
Lobbying spend, revolving-door rates, donor concentration in policy outcomes.
sources: OpenSecrets, Transparency International CPI · LLM-assisted
Inter-generational mobility
w 10%
Probability that children born in the bottom income quintile reach the top, by country.
sources: Chetty et al. Opportunity Atlas, OECD A Broken Social Elevator?
Labour vs capital income share
w 8%
Wage share of GDP versus profit share of GDP, decadal trend.
sources: BLS Productivity-Pay Gap, ILO Global Wage Report
Carbon-elite emissions concentration
w 8%
Share of total emissions attributable to the top 1% and top 10% of emitters.
sources: Oxfam Confronting Carbon Inequality, World Inequality Lab Climate Report
Effective tax rate at the top
w 8%
Combined effective tax rate paid by the top 0.01% on income + wealth + capital gains.
sources: Saez & Zucman Berkeley analyses, ProPublica IRS file
Wealth → political voice transmission
w 12%
Measured policy responsiveness to top-income preferences vs median voter.
sources: Gilens & Page 2014 Perspectives on Politics, Bonica Stanford DIME database · LLM-assisted
CROSS-REFERENCES · KEEP READING