dying·humanity
EVIDENCE LIVE FEED
2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·
2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·
2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·2022-09-16GuardianMahsa Amini dies in Iranian custody; women-led protests sweep the country.·2022-09-08BBCQueen Elizabeth II dies after 70 years on the throne.·2022-08-31ReutersPakistan floods displace 33 million; a third of the country underwater.·2022-06-24NYTUS Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, ending the constitutional right to abortion.·2022-05-24NYTGunman kills 19 children and 2 teachers at Robb Elementary in Uvalde, Texas.·2022-03-09APRussian shelling of a Mariupol maternity hospital draws global condemnation.·2022-02-24BBCRussia launches full-scale invasion of Ukraine; largest land war in Europe since 1945.·2021-11-30NatureOmicron variant detected in southern Africa; spreads globally within weeks.·2021-10-31Carbon BriefIPCC: world on a 2.7°C warming track even if every Paris pledge is met.·2021-08-15ReutersTaliban enter Kabul; Afghan government collapses within hours of US withdrawal.·2021-07-09BBCWestern Canada heat dome kills 600 in days; Lytton burns to the ground.·2021-07-01BBCHong Kong's Apple Daily forced to shut as Beijing tightens national-security law.·2021-03-23FTContainer ship Ever Given blocks the Suez Canal for six days, halting global trade.·2021-02-15Texas TribuneTexas power grid collapses in winter storm; hundreds die in their homes.·2021-01-06ReutersPro-Trump mob storms the US Capitol to block certification of the election; five dead.·2020-12-31WHOGlobal COVID-19 deaths pass 1.8 million in the pandemic's first year.·2020-11-07APBiden defeats Trump; Trump refuses to concede the election.·2020-09-09SF ChronicleCalifornia wildfire smoke turns the San Francisco sky a dystopian orange.·2020-08-04Al JazeeraBeirut port explosion kills more than 200 and flattens half the city.·2020-05-25NYTGeorge Floyd killed by Minneapolis police; protests sweep cities worldwide.·2020-03-11BBCWHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic; global lockdowns begin.·2020-01-30ReutersWHO declares novel coronavirus a global health emergency.·2026-05-20Carbon Brief12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.·2026-02-05FASNew START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.·2025-12-04ReutersEuropean far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.·2025-11-12ReutersWhite-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.·2025-10-30WHOWHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.·2025-09-15LancetLancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.·2025-07-22CopernicusEurope shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.·2025-06-22CNNUS bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'·2025-06-13ReutersIsrael launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.·2025-04-30BBCIndia and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.·2025-04-02ReutersTrump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.·2025-02-06ReutersTrump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.·2025-01-20ReutersTrump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.·2024-12-08ReutersBashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.·2024-11-21Al JazeeraICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.·2024-11-05APDonald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.·2024-09-27ReutersIsraeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.·2024-09-17ReutersCoordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.·2024-08-24FTPavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.·2024-08-04ReutersOpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.·2024-07-13ReutersTrump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.·2024-05-30ReutersDonald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.·2024-04-13BBCIran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.·2024-02-16ReutersAlexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.·2024-01-26APICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.·2024-01-09ReutersHouthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.·2023-12-12ReutersCOP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'·2023-11-15UN OCHAGaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.·2023-10-07ReutersHamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.·2023-09-08CopernicusEarth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.·2023-08-23ReutersYevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.·2023-08-08APMaui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.·2023-06-23FTWagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.·2023-05-05WHOWHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.·2023-03-22WMOAtmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.·2023-02-06ReutersEarthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.·2022-11-30ReutersOpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.·2022-10-27ReutersElon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.·2022-09-16GuardianMahsa Amini dies in Iranian custody; women-led protests sweep the country.·2022-09-08BBCQueen Elizabeth II dies after 70 years on the throne.·2022-08-31ReutersPakistan floods displace 33 million; a third of the country underwater.·2022-06-24NYTUS Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, ending the constitutional right to abortion.·2022-05-24NYTGunman kills 19 children and 2 teachers at Robb Elementary in Uvalde, Texas.·2022-03-09APRussian shelling of a Mariupol maternity hospital draws global condemnation.·2022-02-24BBCRussia launches full-scale invasion of Ukraine; largest land war in Europe since 1945.·2021-11-30NatureOmicron variant detected in southern Africa; spreads globally within weeks.·2021-10-31Carbon BriefIPCC: world on a 2.7°C warming track even if every Paris pledge is met.·2021-08-15ReutersTaliban enter Kabul; Afghan government collapses within hours of US withdrawal.·2021-07-09BBCWestern Canada heat dome kills 600 in days; Lytton burns to the ground.·2021-07-01BBCHong Kong's Apple Daily forced to shut as Beijing tightens national-security law.·2021-03-23FTContainer ship Ever Given blocks the Suez Canal for six days, halting global trade.·2021-02-15Texas TribuneTexas power grid collapses in winter storm; hundreds die in their homes.·2021-01-06ReutersPro-Trump mob storms the US Capitol to block certification of the election; five dead.·2020-12-31WHOGlobal COVID-19 deaths pass 1.8 million in the pandemic's first year.·2020-11-07APBiden defeats Trump; Trump refuses to concede the election.·2020-09-09SF ChronicleCalifornia wildfire smoke turns the San Francisco sky a dystopian orange.·2020-08-04Al JazeeraBeirut port explosion kills more than 200 and flattens half the city.·2020-05-25NYTGeorge Floyd killed by Minneapolis police; protests sweep cities worldwide.·2020-03-11BBCWHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic; global lockdowns begin.·2020-01-30ReutersWHO declares novel coronavirus a global health emergency.·
DYINGHUMANITY · v0.5 · 10 OF 10 PILLARS LIVE

HUMANITY IS DYING.
START COUNTING
WHAT WE LOSE.

dyinghumanity.com tracks how humanity is doing across ten dimensions: war, the climate, our minds, gendered violence, greed, polarisation, isolation, religion, the platforms that own our attention, and the ecosystems we are emptying. Each gets a 0-100 composite score, weighted from ten cited signals you can open and argue with.

What's below: a symbolic Humanity Clock, an at-a-glance dashboard of how the dimensions couple to each other and where each is trending, six years of dated evidence, a world map of the live conflict picture, and the ten pillar pages themselves. Every number is auditable. Every framing is one person's reading; the point is to make those choices visible rather than hide them.

The Humanity Clock · symbolic countdown
T −16years·73days·01hrs:12min:00sec
Severecomposite stress 73/10016.2 symbolic years

This is not a literal prediction. It is a symbolic figure derived from the weighted composite of the pillars below, mapped linearly onto a 60-year horizon so that today's stress level has a visceral, ticking embodiment. The number that matters is which direction it moves over time, and which pillar is pushing it.

AT A GLANCE

Correlations, drivers, forecasts, and the next five years.

CORRELATIONS · CROSS-PILLAR

What moves with what.

Red = positive coupling (one rises, the other does too, both bad). Blue = negative. Solid = country-level evidence. Faded = editorial, from the relevant pillar's literature.

WARCLIMATEMINDVIOLENCEGREEDPOLARISATIONISOLATIONRELIGIONTECHECOSYSTEM
WAR·
CLIMATE·
MIND·
VIOLENCE·
GREED·
POLARISATION·
ISOLATION·
RELIGION·
TECH·
ECOSYSTEM·
HOVER A CELL · DRAG-AVAILABLE READING · OPEN A PILLAR FOR THE FULL SCATTER
CAUSAL LINKS · DRIVERS

What pushes what.

Editorial reading of documented one-way drivers. Arrow thickness = link weight. Hover a link to read it.

WARCLIMATEMINDVIOLENCEGREEDPOLARISATIONISOLATIONRELIGIONTECHECOSYSTEM
HOVER A LINK · OR A NODE TO ISOLATE ITS DRIVERS
FORECAST · 5-YEAR PROJECTION

Where each pillar is going.

Editorial projections rolling forward today's signal trajectories. Bars are scored 0-100; the chip at the end is the current driver.

  • WAR
    now 64→ 2031 ≈ 70
    New START expiry; PLA arsenal build
  • CLIMATE
    now 74→ 2031 ≈ 82
    NDC trajectory implies 2.7°C
  • MIND
    now 69→ 2031 ≈ 76
    Adolescent curve hasn't reversed
  • VIOLENCE
    now 78→ 2031 ≈ 78
    ·Femicide rate rising; IPV flat
  • GREED
    now 81→ 2031 ≈ 85
    Billionaire-wealth compound; regulatory capture
  • POLARISATION
    now 81→ 2031 ≈ 86
    V-Dem democracies count keeps falling
  • ISOLATION
    now 73→ 2031 ≈ 78
    Single-person households still climbing
  • RELIGION
    now 67→ 2031 ≈ 68
    ·Religious nationalism flattening; persecution stable
  • TECH
    now 74→ 2031 ≈ 88
    Generative-AI exposure curve
  • ECOSYSTEM
    now 84→ 2031 ≈ 89
    Six of nine planetary boundaries crossed; coral annual
BARS · CURRENT COMPOSITE · DASHED EDGE · 5Y EDITORIAL PROJECTION
TIMELINE · 2020 → 2031

Dated events, by pillar. Past and projected.

Each dot is a sourced event or a scheduled milestone. The vertical bar is today. Hover a dot for the entry.

WARPOLARISATIONTECHCLIMATEMINDECOSYSTEMGREED202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031TODAYSOLID = OBSERVED · DASHED = SCHEDULED OR TRAJECTORY-IMPLIED
HOVER A DOT · DOT SIZE = EVENT WEIGHT (1-3)
EVIDENCE · SINCE 2020

Six years, one direction.

Dated, attributed headlines. Newest first.

52 ENTRIES
EVIDENCE WALL · 2020–2026 · 60 ENTRIES

Six years, one direction

A scroll through the past six years of headlines that bear on what this site measures. Every entry is dated, attributed, and chosen for material weight rather than virality. The point is the accumulation, not any single line.

LEGENDWARCLIMATEPANDEMICPOLITICSECONOMYVIOLENCEMINDAIJUSTICEDISASTER
2026
2 ENTRIES
  • MAY 20
    Carbon Brief
    CLIMATE

    12-month global temperature anomaly stays above 1.55°C for the third consecutive year.

  • FEB 05
    FAS
    WAR

    New START Treaty officially expires with no successor agreement; nuclear-arms-control architecture collapses.

2025
11 ENTRIES
  • DEC 04
    Reuters
    POLITICS

    European far-right gains in multiple national elections; centrist coalitions struggle to form.

  • NOV 12
    Reuters
    AI

    White-collar AI layoffs accelerate across legal, marketing, and customer-support sectors.

  • OCT 30
    WHO
    MIND

    WHO: adolescent mental-health diagnoses up sharply versus pre-pandemic baseline.

  • SEP 15
    Lancet
    WAR

    Lancet study: indirect death toll from Gaza war likely exceeds 186,000.

  • JUL 22
    Copernicus
    CLIMATE

    Europe shatters multiple national heat records in July heatwave; 50°C hit in parts of the south.

  • JUN 22
    CNN
    WAR

    US bombs Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan during '12-day war.'

  • JUN 13
    Reuters
    WAR

    Israel launches large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear and command targets.

  • APR 30
    BBC
    WAR

    India and Pakistan exchange strikes after Pahalgam attack in Kashmir.

  • APR 02
    Reuters
    ECONOMY

    Trump announces sweeping 'reciprocal' tariffs; global markets sell off hard.

  • FEB 06
    Reuters
    ECONOMY

    Trump pauses most USAID funding; foreign-aid programs and partners scramble.

  • JAN 20
    Reuters
    POLITICS

    Trump returns to the White House; day-one executive orders on tariffs, deportations, climate, and TikTok.

2024
13 ENTRIES
  • DEC 08
    Reuters
    WAR

    Bashar al-Assad regime falls in Syria after 53 years; rebels enter Damascus.

  • NOV 21
    Al Jazeera
    JUSTICE

    ICC issues arrest warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza war crimes allegations.

  • NOV 05
    AP
    POLITICS

    Donald Trump wins second term; Republicans take both chambers of Congress.

  • SEP 27
    Reuters
    WAR

    Israeli airstrike kills Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut.

  • SEP 17
    Reuters
    WAR

    Coordinated pager attacks in Lebanon kill dozens and wound thousands attributed to Hezbollah.

  • AUG 24
    FT
    POLITICS

    Pavel Durov arrested in France; Telegram free-speech and crime debate erupts.

  • AUG 04
    Reuters
    AI

    OpenAI o1 'reasoning' model debuts; cost of intelligent compute keeps falling.

  • JUL 13
    Reuters
    POLITICS

    Trump shot at Pennsylvania rally; survives.

  • MAY 30
    Reuters
    JUSTICE

    Donald Trump becomes first US former president convicted of a felony.

  • APR 13
    BBC
    WAR

    Iran launches its first-ever direct strike on Israel: 300+ missiles and drones.

  • FEB 16
    Reuters
    POLITICS

    Alexei Navalny dies in Russian Arctic penal colony.

  • JAN 26
    AP
    JUSTICE

    ICJ orders Israel to prevent genocidal acts in Gaza; genocide case proceeds.

  • JAN 09
    Reuters
    ECONOMY

    Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping force major carriers to reroute around Africa.

2023
10 ENTRIES
  • DEC 12
    Reuters
    CLIMATE

    COP28 ends with first-ever call for the world to 'transition away from fossil fuels.'

  • NOV 15
    UN OCHA
    WAR

    Gaza death toll passes 11,000; UN warns of famine and collapse of medical system.

  • OCT 07
    Reuters
    WAR

    Hamas attacks southern Israel; 1,195 killed and 251 hostages taken.

  • SEP 08
    Copernicus
    CLIMATE

    Earth surpasses 1.5°C above pre-industrial averaged over 12 months for the first time.

  • AUG 23
    Reuters
    WAR

    Yevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash north of Moscow.

  • AUG 08
    AP
    DISASTER

    Maui wildfires destroy historic Lahaina and kill at least 100.

  • JUN 23
    FT
    WAR

    Wagner Group mutiny; Prigozhin's column marches on Moscow, then turns back.

  • MAY 05
    WHO
    PANDEMIC

    WHO declares the end of the COVID-19 global health emergency.

  • MAR 22
    WMO
    CLIMATE

    Atmospheric CO₂ breaks 420 ppm for the first time in 4 million years.

  • FEB 06
    Reuters
    DISASTER

    Earthquake in Türkiye and Syria kills more than 59,000.

2022
9 ENTRIES
  • NOV 30
    Reuters
    AI

    OpenAI launches ChatGPT to the public; mass-market generative AI begins.

  • OCT 27
    Reuters
    ECONOMY

    Elon Musk completes Twitter takeover; mass layoffs and policy reversals follow.

  • SEP 16
    Guardian
    VIOLENCE

    Mahsa Amini dies in Iranian custody; women-led protests sweep the country.

  • SEP 08
    BBC
    POLITICS

    Queen Elizabeth II dies after 70 years on the throne.

  • AUG 31
    Reuters
    CLIMATE

    Pakistan floods displace 33 million; a third of the country underwater.

  • JUN 24
    NYT
    JUSTICE

    US Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, ending the constitutional right to abortion.

  • MAY 24
    NYT
    VIOLENCE

    Gunman kills 19 children and 2 teachers at Robb Elementary in Uvalde, Texas.

  • MAR 09
    AP
    WAR

    Russian shelling of a Mariupol maternity hospital draws global condemnation.

  • FEB 24
    BBC
    WAR

    Russia launches full-scale invasion of Ukraine; largest land war in Europe since 1945.

2021
8 ENTRIES
  • NOV 30
    Nature
    PANDEMIC

    Omicron variant detected in southern Africa; spreads globally within weeks.

  • OCT 31
    Carbon Brief
    CLIMATE

    IPCC: world on a 2.7°C warming track even if every Paris pledge is met.

  • AUG 15
    Reuters
    WAR

    Taliban enter Kabul; Afghan government collapses within hours of US withdrawal.

  • JUL 09
    BBC
    CLIMATE

    Western Canada heat dome kills 600 in days; Lytton burns to the ground.

  • JUL 01
    BBC
    POLITICS

    Hong Kong's Apple Daily forced to shut as Beijing tightens national-security law.

  • MAR 23
    FT
    ECONOMY

    Container ship Ever Given blocks the Suez Canal for six days, halting global trade.

  • FEB 15
    Texas Tribune
    DISASTER

    Texas power grid collapses in winter storm; hundreds die in their homes.

  • JAN 06
    Reuters
    POLITICS

    Pro-Trump mob storms the US Capitol to block certification of the election; five dead.

2020
7 ENTRIES
  • DEC 31
    WHO
    PANDEMIC

    Global COVID-19 deaths pass 1.8 million in the pandemic's first year.

  • NOV 07
    AP
    POLITICS

    Biden defeats Trump; Trump refuses to concede the election.

  • SEP 09
    SF Chronicle
    CLIMATE

    California wildfire smoke turns the San Francisco sky a dystopian orange.

  • AUG 04
    Al Jazeera
    DISASTER

    Beirut port explosion kills more than 200 and flattens half the city.

  • MAY 25
    NYT
    VIOLENCE

    George Floyd killed by Minneapolis police; protests sweep cities worldwide.

  • MAR 11
    BBC
    PANDEMIC

    WHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic; global lockdowns begin.

  • JAN 30
    Reuters
    PANDEMIC

    WHO declares novel coronavirus a global health emergency.

INDEX · WHO IS PUSHING THE CLOCK

Per-pillar contribution to the master composite.

10/10 LIVE
Who is pushing the clock

Per-pillar contribution to the master composite

10 live
Climate & Earth
7418%
War
6416%
Mind & isolation
6911%
Greed & inequality
8111%
Domestic & gendered violence
7811%
Polarisation & opinion
819%
Isolation & loneliness
738%
Religion & meaning
677%
Animals & ecosystems
845%
Tech & attention
744%

Score is the pillar's composite (0 to 100); share is its contribution to the weighted average behind the master clock. When more pillars come online, this breakdown will spread across all ten.

GEOGRAPHY

Where the pressure is. Who is firing at whom.

USCNRUUAILIRINPKKPDEGBBR
LEGEND ACTIVE WAR ACTIVE PROXY STANDOFF COLD WARDOT SIZE = COMPOSITE STRESS · CLICK A COUNTRY
PILLARS

Ten dimensions.

10/10 LIVE

War

w 18%

Composite pressure toward major-power armed conflict.

64Concerning
T − 18.0y
Open the pillar →

Climate & Earth

w 18%

Atmospheric, ocean, ice, and biosphere stress on a habitable planet.

74Severe
T − 13.0y
Temperature anomaly, 1880 to 2024
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Mind & isolation

w 12%

Anxiety, social-media intensity, loneliness, sleep loss, meaning collapse.

69Severe
T − 15.5y
US teen girls reporting persistent sadness, 2011 to 2021
Open the pillar →

Domestic & gendered violence

w 10%

Intimate-partner violence, femicide, child abuse, coercive control.

78Severe
T − 11.0y
Global femicides, 2015 to 2023 (UNODC)
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Greed & inequality

w 10%

Wealth concentration, capture of political institutions, eroding social mobility.

81Severe
T − 9.5y
S&P 500 CEO-to-worker pay ratio, 1965 to 2023
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Polarisation & opinion

w 8%

Affective polarisation, distrust of institutions, algorithmic echo chambers.

81Severe
T − 9.5y
US affective-polarisation gap, 1980 to 2024
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Isolation & loneliness

w 8%

Decline of community life, single-occupancy households, screen-mediated contact.

73Severe
T − 13.5y
Average US close-confidants count, 1985 to 2022
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Religion & meaning

w 8%

Sectarian conflict, secularisation crises, weaponised piety, meaning vacuum.

67Severe
T − 16.5y
US religiously-unaffiliated 'nones', 1972 to 2024
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Tech & attention

w 4%

Algorithmic capture of attention, AI labor displacement, autonomy collapse.

74Severe
T − 13.0y
Sustained attention span, 2004 to 2023
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Animals & ecosystems

w 4%

Species extinction rate, factory-farm scale, ocean depletion, habitat loss.

84Catastrophic
T − 8.0y
Living Planet Index, 1970 to 2020
Open the pillar →
TRUST · READ THIS LAST

What this is, and what it isn't.

MULTIPLE PERSPECTIVES

No tradition gets the whole picture

Each pillar carries readings from across cultures and disciplines: Western scientific, Indigenous land-stewardship, Global South justice, Eastern contemplative, religious, lived experience. The position and the evidence sit next to each other.

TRANSPARENT PROVENANCE

Every number is auditable

Signal weights, sources, snapshots, scoring code, and the LLM prompts all live in git. If a number is wrong, you can trace which input is wrong and submit a correction.

SYMBOLIC, NOT LITERAL

The clock is an attention device

The countdown is an editorial framing, not a prediction. What it asserts is that the direction across the ten pillars is consistently bad. You can verify that signal by signal.